Perdidos en la desintegración

Authors

  • Agostina Dasso Martorell Princeton University

Abstract

The South American regional society has deteriorated over the last decade. Faced with social and political unrest, governments have decided to resort to military action. At the same time, relationships between neighbors have become strained due to ideological differences. The literature has managed to capture and explain the reasons for unrest at the domestic level, without diving into how it affects the way neighbors relate to each other. In this paper, I aim to understand how political and social dynamics are influencing interstate relations in the region. I posit that domestic militarization and ideological distance between presidents are an impediment to advancing defense cooperation. The purpose of this paper is to answer the following questions: how does domestic militarization and ideological distance between presidents affect cooperation? What are the levels of cooperation? Under what conditions can relationships between neighbors deteriorate? To find the answers, I analyze dyadic defense relations and adopt a mixed method combining descriptive statistical analysis, a QCA technique and case study so as to identify causal combinations that lead states to stop cooperating. The statistical analysis allows describing the state of affairs in the region, while the QCA reveals that high domestic militarization and wide ideological distance lead countries to stop cooperating. The analysis of the “most-likely” case of the Brazil - Venezuela dyad enables me to understand how domestic militarization is perceived negatively when ideological distance between presidents widens. The conclusion of this paper is that a state will perceive the militarization of another state as a threat to its security as long as the ideological distance is wide, and this will lead to the deterioration of cooperation.

Keywords:

militarización, distancia ideológica, sociedad regional, defensa, cooperación

Author Biography

Agostina Dasso Martorell, Princeton University

Estudiante, PhD Public Affairs en Princeton University, Magíster en Política y Economía Internacional por Universidad de San Andrés, Licenciada en Estudios Internacionales por Universidad Torcuato di Tella. adasso@princeton.edu, ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7496-6105.